The Inacurracies of Polling Data

We’ve already seen it this presidential season in the New Hampshire surprise in which what had been a 5pt lead for Barack Obama turned out to be a 5pt win for Hillary Clinton.

AJ Strata takes a look at discrepancies in data from Colorado and Pennsylvania while pointing out the clear differences in polling versus actual party affiliation numbers that exist in states.

These are the mysterious “inside the numbers” numbers we hear so much about. Both campaigns likely have the very best at using these numbers. Their opinions are what is driving both campaigns ground games now.

We’ve seen the Obama camp pull their people in some states and moved them top other states. I believe that They have pulled their operatives out of Georgia, North Carolina and Montana. One state they’ve been redeployed is in Wisconsin. This is likely one state where Democrats see weakness and/or are seeing as a must hold.

John McCain and Sarah Palin will be in Columbus,Ohio tomorrow. Republicans certainly consider this a must hold state. The campaign is continuing its hybrid strategy of both halves of the ticket appearing together. It seems to be working.

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