Does the always seems to be working Jim Geraghty:

Dear friends at Newsweek…

Just to clarify…

You have McCain winning Republicans, 89 to 7. You have Obama winning Democrats, 91 to 5. (I’m a bit skeptical, but for now, for the sake of argument, I’ll accept your assertion that PUMAs are extinct.) You have McCain winning independents by 2 percent, 45 to 43.

And this adds up to an 11-percent Obama lead in your latest poll.

We are to believe that McCain is losing among women by 9 percent, but losing among men by 14 percent.

We are to believe that the Hillary voters are lining up behind Obama, 88 percent to 7 percent.

We are to believe Obama is winning 18 to 34-year-olds by 10 percent, but he is winning 45 to 64-year-olds by 16 percent.

We are to believe the white vote is just about even, 46 percent for Obama, 47 percent for McCain.

And we are to believe the electorate in November will be 27 percent Republican, 40 percent Democrat, and 30 percent Independent.

If the over/under on the partisan breakdown on Election Day is 13 percent, I’d take the under. I wonder if anybody in Vegas would take that wager…

Geraghty is not a soloist like this writer in the sense that he often takes counsel of a political guru he only refers to as Obi Wan. I wonder if the Jedi Master wonk is at work again in helping Geraghy point out such statistical improbabilities in the Newsweek Poll.

At any rate, this political novice is often also a grassy knollist when it comes to conspiracy among any leftist types – like MSM sponsored polls. The Newsweek poll like so many others, seems to be, well, too good to be true for Obama. Geraghty’s look inside the numbers brings an example to light.

False polling assessments may be serving as the most effective propoganda for the Obama campaign yet. By serving to send a message that his candidacy is a fait accompli its driving a narrative thats depressing the opponent and its voters.

Is the electorate this prone to manipulation? And at this level? Maybe. A simple premature MSM call in 2000 that gave Florida to Gore sent home who knows how many potential Bush voters still standing in line in the central time zone still having over an hour to vote. But it seems that Republicans learned their lesson and didn’t wilt in 2004 when polling was favorbale to John Kerry.

Having said this, it might be that conservative bloggers have to serve due dillegence until the election is over to combat clear MSM and institutional subversive actions in its unprofessional and unethical support of Obama and the Democrats.

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