POLITICS: Does the Rand Paul victory hurt Sarah Palin?

Paul’s turning out to be as looney as his Dad. Didn’t know he was chummy with loose cannon truther Alex Jones. That’s not very good judgement. No wonder the other guy was supported by Mitch McConnell. Paul’s candidacy took off after Sarah Palin’s endorsement which quickly putting Palin in unfavorble light. This is a healthy dose of reality for supporters (like me) of the former VP candidate. It’s also show’s just how silly libertarianism can be.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 21, 2010

BLACK TIDE: Optimism on the Gulf Coast

My hometown paper, the Northwest Florida Daily News, has an editorial that takes a rare look at some of the hopeful signs in clean-up efforts:

One month after the oil rig Deepwater Horizon erupted in flames, unleashing a so-far-unstoppable gusher of crude a mile down in the Gulf of Mexico, there is reason for cautious optimism here in Northwest Florida. Our sandy shore and emerald waters remain unspoiled by oil. There is a chance — perhaps a better chance as each day goes by — that the worst won’t happen

To be fair, the NWFDN is focused on the local coastline. If the spill gets into the loop, it can theaten the Keys and other loactions. Still, alot of good people are working around the clock to fight this tragedy. It’s not good for Louisiana, a state that can hardly take much more. The damage to that particular ecosystem may prove to be incalculable in long-term harm.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 21, 2010

FLORIDA#2: Ranking the Florida congressional races

It wasn’t that long ago, that Allen Boyd’s seat was considered safe. Even after his health care flip:
2 (tie). Rep. Allen Boyd, D-Monticello. Boyd, a conservative “Blue Dog” Democrat, is well-funded and has survived seven terms in a Panhandle district not especially friendly to Democrats. Like Kosmas, he faces a weak Republican field led by funeral-home owner Scott Southerland, but this is precisely the kind of seat that tipped from Democrat to Republican in 1994.

This take is a behind the actual news cycle of the campaign. First, Boyd may not even be the Democrat nominee. Al Lawson is currently favored to beat him.

Most reporters enjoy making light of the fact that Steve Southerland is a funeral home owner. Unlike most Democrats, Southerland is a business owner and understands things like making a payroll. This is an appealing thing amongst voters right now.

The field can be called a weak field because it is filled with political novices, another fact that voters like. The primary will serve to make the winner stronger and the candidate whom emerges as the winner will be a much better candidate than they are now.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 20, 2010

Bob Sikes in on Twitter and Facebook

Yet another transparent attempt to get more hits on his blog

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 19, 2010

FLORIDA #2: Where they didn’t go last night

No oil drilling questions or comments. No term limit stuff. There are differences here among the candidates. Look for them next time.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 19, 2010

FLORIDA POLITICS: Is Al Lawson angling for the next election?

The one after redistricting.

Last night at the debate, I spoke with a couple of knowledgable GOP members who felt that redistricting will carve Tallahassee out of FLA#2. If this proves true, it plays into Lawson’s hand. The popular African-American pol can easily remain viable in Leon county with his ties to the community and both universities (FSU and FAMU). He’s cuurently favored to defeat Allen Boyd in the August primary. Maybe both Lawson and Boyd probably realize that the seat will go to the Republicans this year. At any rate, if Lawson emerges as a future district’s representative, he’ll do it well.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 19, 2010

FLORIDA #2: An evening with the candidates

The drive down to Panama City wasn’t something I’d been looking forward to after a long school day, but I found it somewhat invigorating. Even the thundertsorm I passed through served somehow as an energizing commune with nature. Sustained with classic rock and a bag of goodies from McDonald’s, I was refreshed when I arrived in old downtown Panama City.

Parking was easy to find behind the Martin Theatre. Supporters of Barbara Olschner and Steve Southerland greeted people with stickers. I accepeted all stickers and put them on my program. I politely tried to say that I was, um, non-partisan for the evening.

I ventured into the small room where the Bay County GOP had sent up meet and greets. Some local candidates had also set up along with the congressional hopefuls making the room hard to navigate at times.

David Scholl and his wife, Shelley greeted well wishers at one corner of the room. They both looked at home in a public setting – something that will be a positive on the campaign trail.

I looked for Eddie Hendry, but the people at his table said that he’d left to prepare for the debate. I told them to say hello for me as I’ve spoken with Eddie on the phone before.

Steve Southerland never stopped smiling during the entire evening. It’s not faked nor contrived. Southerland is the happy warrior. His entire family was there and met him together after the debate was over at the stage.

It looked like there wasn’t room for Barabara Olschner to put up a table, but this didn’t seem to hinder her as she easily worked the room. Olschner conveyed genuine warmth and was approachable. She took lots took of photos with people. She had many supporters there wearing white “Barbara for Congress” stickers.

Ron McNeil, I did not know. He didn’t have a table. He doesn’t have a web site. I had no idea that the tall, friendly fellow that was going around to shake everyone’s hand was McNeil. That would change.

This was my first live debate and I found it much easier to make observations about candidates than I ever have before. When making the decision to go to the debate, I had no preconceived notions about how I’d blog about it. But I came away wanting to write about my impressions of each candidate. Some of it will be good. Some critical. The order they come is not meant to imply anything.

Eddie Hendry: I saw two Eddie Hendry for Congress signs on US 98 on the way to the debate. His were the only ones. Along with his TV ad buys throughout the district, Hendry is using traditional media to advance his campaign. The Taylor county native has an advantage of name notoriety as he was the last candidate to run against Boyd and has likely been preparing for the run since his 2008 defeat at the hands of Boyd. Hendry had many supporters in attendance, was prepared, and clearly wants this badly. Maybe too badly. Of the five candidates, Hendry seemed least at ease. Perhaps it was unfortunate to have the center podium. His passion certainly appeals to some voters and likely scored points with some as he nearly broke down when he spoke of his own child in responding to a question about Roe v. Wade. Hendry had one of the best lines of the evening when he said “the greatest threat to our national security is Barack Obama.” Still, I would have liked to have seen Hendry pressing the flesh a little more. For voters that look for an unyielding conviction of conservative principles, Hendry is appealing. He cleverly invoked his Citadel Bulldogs into a statement at the end. More than any other candidate though, Hendry seems best equipped to play political hardball. The race could come to that at some point.

Ron McNeil: Talk about a throw back. The oldest of the candidates and least tech savvy…… Check that. McNeil probably couldn’t care less about technology. No web site either. He ended his evening telling the audience that they can probably tell he doesn’t need a teleprompter or a poll to do anything. The only candidate to speak off-the cuff, his responses were choppy. But was McNeil was clearly the evening’s entertainment. A delightful combination of Fred Thompson, Jerry Clower and Robert D. Raiford, McNeil was a hoot. He had a down home southern colloquialism for everything. Like everyone else in the room – including the other candidates – I couldn’t wait for McNeil’s takes. While McNeil is sadly a candidate of days gone by and won’t be winning the primary, his appearances on the stump will be worthy of admission.

Barbara Olschner: I felt going in that Olschner was the candidate that had the best opportunity last night to gain some ground. She did. As compared to the rest of the candidates, Olschner did not need to engage in hyperbole and conservative platitudes to be effective. When the other candidates responded to a question about whether or not Roe v Wade was wrong with passionate Christian values, Olschner simply said, “yes.” This may not be emphatic enough for some pro-life voters in the district, but her one-word response might have provided the evening’s one moment of distinction between the candidates. She was at ease responding to questions and stayed consitent to her message of keeping priorities to the economy and national security. She came back to that theme more than once. Her response to a question about “don’t ask, don’t tell” was to say that the issue was “silly” in a manner which highlighted her ability to see the big picture.

Steve Southerland: Southerlands ads convey that clear “likability factor” that is always a winner with voters. And he is likable and may have a leg up in this area. It’s genuine and his success thus far is justified. Southerland was at his best in his opening and closing remarks. He’s able to energize voters and might prove be the race’s best stump speaker. Southerland, though, did not do as well with some of the questions. He didn’t seem as prepared as he should have on health care and stumbled on a question about immigtration. But Southerlands unique people skills were on display and he was clearly at ease on stage. Southerland wasn’t affraid to let everyone see how funny he felt McNeil was.

David Scholl: Scholl’s an extremely bright and passionate candidate. Scholl was prepared to respond to anything and was armed with facts and particulars. There is no doubting his conservative bonifides, but may have gone over the top a bit with his comments about Barack Obama being an American. It brought some shudders in the audience. This could hurt him later on. Scholl often appeared to be trying to get as many things as he could into his responses to win debate points. If we were scoring this as a debate, he would have. But beacuse there were no rebuttals during the evening, scoring debate points last night is irrelevant. During future debates, however, when candidates are attempting to distinguish themselves, Scholl will be effective. The Air Force Academy graduate smiled easily during the evening, enjoyed being with the other candidates and liked meeting voters.

The night did not serve as a debate. Moderator Doc Washburn did an excellent job and had estanblished 30 second response rules. They weren’t needed last night. There were no rebuttals or disagreements among candidates. Lots of red meat for the partisan republican crowd was served up by all. I think that Hendry, Scholl and Olschner were willing and had prepared to go more give and take, but the evening never went in that direction. Southerland benefited by not having to take on other candidates as he is the perceived frontrunner. McNeil, we can only hope, has a future as a conservative commentator. Can’t wait to hear him with on the radio with Rick and Bubba.

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 19, 2010

FLORIDA#2: Leaving for the debate in a few

The Bay County GOP has a link that you can watch online

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/florida-cd2-debate

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 18, 2010

FLORIDA POLITICS: Do Democrats really want to go there in prosecuting Ray Sansom for grand theft?

Once a powerful rising star in the Florida Republican Party, Ray Sansom’s fall from grace has been remarkable to observe. Full disclosure: I went to high school with his two brothers. Sansom became House Speaker – the same job that Marco Rubio had. And yes, he knew people in high places from around these parts. It is these associations that got him into trouble. Along with two men – developer Jay Odom and former NWFS President Bob Richburg, Sansom faces grand theft charges stemming from an earmark he wrote into a state budget. Sansom was forced to resign.

Reasonable people have debated whether or not what Sansom did was efthical and legal. State’s Attorney, Willie Meggs, a Democrat, originally was successful in getting a misconduct charge through the grand jury against the three. But Judge Terry Lewis threw out the majority of Meggs’ case. Meggs promptly resubmitted grand theft and conspiracy charges. This seems to have some legs within the give and take of the law as Lewis refused to dismiss the charges yesterday.

So here we go.

There have been virtually no voices – publically anyway – that rose in defense of the three. It’s easy to understand why.

While Sansom was held in high regard by a community that watched he and his two big brothers grow into successes. One brother is a CPA and the other an administrator with the school district. The youngest of the three, Ray, chose politics. Politicians eventually make friends, and two of those friends, Odom and Richburg, are the kind of guys whom have earned detractors and scorn.

Sansom placed an earmark of $6 million to build a dual purpose hangar at the Destin Airport. He accepted a high paying job at Richburg’s school. His timing could not have been worse, but his actions not unprecedented. The editorial writers of his home town paper pounced. The papers democrat leaning news page writers doubled down with biased coverage and headlines. Another Democrat leaning reporter for the influencial St. Petersburg Times, Alex Leary, further advanced the story on the widely read political blog, The Buzz.

When proceedings began in the House to expel Sansom it was reveiled that an obscure Democrat party operative, with the help of state party officials, made the complaint that Meggs eventually acted upon.

It’s not the messenger, you see. It’s the serious of the charge.

It didn’t really matter by that time as the narrative had already been established. The three were crooks. Evidence for the benefit that hangar would have provided the area have been dismissed out of hand. Destin’s fire chief supported that plan. There wasn’t anything untypical about the earmark in the first place and the govenor did not use his veto pen on it.

Doesn’t matter. The three are crooks. Off with their head.

But now that we have gone there and that what was done is now a criminal manner, it is time to visit how we got here.

The criminalization of normal political and legislative activity has become a Democrat thing. See the Plame case and the efforts of prosecutor Ronnie Earle in Texas to destroy Tom Delay. Meggs is a Democrat.

It’s the way the party has chosen to roll.

But now that this template is in place, any legislator can easily be fit in it. Just click on, type and delete the excess.

Simply put, any earmark a legislator obtains for his district is a potential felony. Any legislator with ties to an educational instution is similarly imperiled if their institution receives state funds. Or is it just ok because such things are only applied to Republicans.

So, yes. It is the Democrat Party that are going to have to eventually be held accountable for all this. Do they really want to go there?

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This post was written by bobsikes on May 18, 2010

OBAMA WATCH: Let me get this straight….We are apologizing to China about OUR human rights?

Yes. Apparently so.

How far do are we really going to go into such an abyss on incredulity?

Say’s John Hinderacker at Powerline:


What an idiot! China murdered millions of its citizens who opposed the government’s Communist policies and allows most of its people little or no freedom. We, on the other hand, enforce our immigration laws. No, wait–actually we don’t. That’s why Arizona had to take a shot at it. Oh, by the way, Michael Posner, you clueless moron–China actually does enforce its immigration laws

Some of the Obama-Democrat slogans from the last election cycle come to mind:

“reset” and “regaining our standing in the world”

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Posted under OBAMA WATCH

This post was written by bobsikes on May 17, 2010