It didn’t take long to remind that the man’s words are seperate from his deeds. His naming of political hatchet man Rham Emanuel his WH Chief of Staff is a clear signal he will be about acheiving his leftist agenda.
UPDATE: More here on Emanuel
The best quote: “He’s as cold-blooded as I need him to be to make the decisions.” — House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi on Emanuel, May 27 National Journal.
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With the mandate that voters gave to Senator Barck Obama, American will finally find out about the man. And it will be as Martin Luther King said about the content of his character. It will be simple. Obama has asked us to only pay attention to what he says and to ignore his record and work and associations. He has his work cut out for him.
His said that he was not in favor of reinstituting the Fairness Doctrine. Its a line in the sand for conservatives and if Obama gives in to the leftist leaders in Congress, he will be asked to cross it. It will be an easy marker with which to hold him accountable and understand where this man truly will lead us.
America’s security and commitments abroad will be easily assessed. What of Iraq, Iran, Russia? Will Israel remain an ally as it has been or will an Obama foreign policy throw them under the bus. He’s said otherwise.
And of his tax cuts and luke warm take on the nationalization of health care?
We all will wait and came only hope that he is a man of his word.
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From Mark Hemingway at The Corner.
My favorite part:
Bill Clinton was in the district for a Murtha rally Monday. They don’t think it had much of an impact, Clinton only drew a crowd of 1,400. In contrast, Palin’s rally in the district a few weeks ago drew over 5,000
It won’t be until after the election to assess the strength of the Palin candidacy. It certainly hasn’t hurt although the MSM narrative tried to tell us the sky was green on this one. Could it be that Palin found new GOP voters and is an untold story?
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Thanks to the Anchoress for remembering my own little part of America during the 2000 election. It almost lost the election for Bush as the MSM call for Gore was at least 75 minutes before polls closed in our part of the state.
I still caution that the MSM will attempt to make an early somewhere to supress turnout in central time zone states as they saw it work in 2000. polls are open an hour later in such battleground states as OH, FL, MO, IO, WS, MN
Don’t forget to vote and to get friends to vote. Report any potential wrongdoing.
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No way!
I’d imagine that here in Florida, the ACORN folks have already mailed in and will attempt to cast provisional ballots tomorrow. Or maybe they did so at one of the early polling locations. Here you have to provide a driver’s licence.
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Mary Katherine Ham has been a busy gal today. Earlier she recieved tribute of greatness when she was named one of the 25 Scariest Conservatives.
An honor to be envious of for sure, but it may not be why the 25 year-old new-media journalist star is most remembered. She might well have told the world why McCain-Palin upset the Obama suggernaut on the election’s eve by going inside the numbers to explain why the GOP ticket takes the big prize states of Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Its Obama’s gaffe on the coal industry. And Ham explains why today in a post at the Weekly Standard:
In order to turn Ohio blue, as Obama wishes to do, he would need to increase urban turn-out, which is probable, while retaining Kerry’s wins in a handful of southern and eastern counties. One of those counties is Belmont County, which went for Kerry 52-46 percent. Another is Athens, which went for Kerry 63-36 percent; Jefferson, 52-47 for Kerry; Mahonig, 62-36 for Kerry; Stark, 50-48 for Kerry. The raw number margins in those counties were not huge, with most of Kerry’s payload coming in Cuyahoga and surrounding counties, but it would seem Obama would need to retain most of those margins to flip the state.
Unfortunately for Obama, Belmont is the highest coal-producing county in the state. Athens, Jefferson, Mahonig and Stark are also home to some of Ohio’s 3,000 mining jobs and an estimated 11 coal industry spin-off jobs that each of the mining jobs represents. Now, wouldn’t voting for Obama be decidedly against these people’s interests?
The same goes for Pennsylvania, where the state’s culture, history, and economy have long been dependent on the coal industry. From the mirrored black luster of Scranton’s anthracite in the east to the dark dust of the west’s bituminous mines, folks will not take kindly to Obama’s blithe talk of bankruptcy. He will undoubtedly increase turn-out in Philadelphia, but will he hold on to coal-region counties Luzerne, Beaver, Fayette, Washington, and Allegheny?
Particularly in the case of Pennsylvania, there are now about five Democrat-issued warnings or insults that could entice blue-collar voters in these formerly blue counties to vote Republican without ever having to resort to race.
Its hard to imagine either candidate being able to defeat the other if their opponent secures the 41 electoral votes of Pennsylvania and Ohio. Ham has gone inside the numbers and broken down the counties to explain why this may well be the case. I’m sure Michael Barone smiled when he read Ham’s work this morning.
Its noteworthy that another respected member of the new media is predicting that the GOP ticket will get bot states. Ed Morrissey, whom Michelle Malkin talked into closing his terrific blog Captain’s Quarters and move to Hot Air, predicted that PA and OH would go to McCain-Palin today.
Me? 278-260 McCain-Palin. No PA, but NH, CO and OH.
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From Mary Katherine Ham.
In order to turn Ohio blue, as Obama wishes to do, he would need to increase urban turn-out, which is probable, while retaining Kerry’s wins in a handful of southern and eastern counties. One of those counties is Belmont County, which went for Kerry 52-46 percent. Another is Athens, which went for Kerry 63-36 percent; Jefferson, 52-47 for Kerry; Mahonig, 62-36 for Kerry; Stark, 50-48 for Kerry. The raw number margins in those counties were not huge, with most of Kerry’s payload coming in Cuyahoga and surrounding counties, but it would seem Obama would need to retain most of those margins to flip the state.
Unfortunately for Obama, Belmont is the highest coal-producing county in the state. Athens, Jefferson, Mahonig and Stark are also home to some of Ohio’s 3,000 mining jobs and an estimated 11 coal industry spin-off jobs that each of the mining jobs represents. Now, wouldn’t voting for Obama be decidedly against these people’s interests?
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Well said here by Roger Simon:
But bias, bad as it may be, is not the real problem. Everybody has a bias. We all know that. It’s when bias creates dishonesty that the dry rot sets in. The media has been essentially dishonest in its non-investigation of Obama for what now is several years. With all their vast resources, they have given us virtually no reportage on his years at Harvard and Columbia and he is about to become President of the United States.
And this dishonesty, clearly perceived by the public even as it will likely elect Obama, is what accounts for a great deal of the economic woes of the mainstream media today. That same public know the NYT, LAT and WaPo are no longer reliable sources. The Washinton Post’s — clearly the best of the three - earnings plummeting 86% in the third quarter of this year is no longer a surprise, nor is it entirely related to the overall economic meltdown.
It will be interesting to see if there is a shift in their coverage in the aftermath of the election. My guess is that it will take some time for that ship to right itself, if it ever does. The embarrassment factor would be too great - even if it would satisfy some of their shareholders.
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The McCain-Palin campaign knows that both the polls and MSM have been part of the Obama-Dem propoganda to suppress GOP vote. Here is their warning about tomorrow:
As we have seen in previous election cycles, the exit poll results do leak early and that ends up influencing the coverage of the race before even the first state polls close at 6:00 PM Eastern.
However, we want to remind the campaign that the media’s own post-election study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the Democratic candidate’s support. Therefore, we would discourage a rush to judgment based on the exit polls and wait until there has been a representative sampling of actual tabulated results from a variety of counties and precincts in a state.
Here are the key points to keep in mind when the exit poll data starts being leaked:
1. Historically, exit polls have tended to overstate the Democratic vote.
2. The exit polls are likely to overstate the Obama vote because Obama voters are more likely to participate in the exit poll.
3. The exit polls have tended to skew most Democratic in years where there is high turnout and high vote interest like in 1992 and 2004.
4. It is not just the national exit poll that skews Democratic, but each of the state exit polls also suffers from the same Democratic leanings.
5. The results of the exit polls are also influenced by the demographics of the voters who conduct the exit polls.
After the 2004 election, the National Election Pool completed a study investigating why the exit polls that year showed John Kerry over performing 5.5 net points better than the actual results showed him to have done. Their conclusion was that the primary reason the exit polls was that Kerry voters and Democrats were more likely to participate in the exit polls.
“Our investigation of the differences between the exit poll estimates and the actual vote count point to one primary reason: in a number of precincts a higher than average Within Precinct Error most likely due to Kerry voters participating in the exit polls at a higher rate than Bush voters. There has been partisan overstatements in previous elections, more often overstating the Democrat, but occasionally overstating the Republican.
We believe that this will hold true this year. The recent Fox News survey showed that 46% of Obama voters said they were very likely to participate in the exit polls, while just 35% of McCain supporters are.
In fact, even the 2004 exit poll report noted that higher turnout nationally and higher levels of voter interest in both 1992 and 2004 correlated with greater Within Precinct Error.
The overstating of the Democratic vote did not only occur in the national exit polls, but also occurred in the state exit polls. The 2004 exit poll report cited that the Kerry vote was overstated by more than one standard error in 26 states, while the Bush vote was overstated in just four states. So we should also expect the individual state exit polls on Tuesday to be more Democratic as well.
So given that turnout is expected to be even higher than 2004 and that Democrats are more likely to participate in the exit polls, this means we should expect greater fluctuation and variation in the exit polls from the actual election results.
The 2004 exit poll report also showed that the greatest error in the exit poll came in precincts where the interviewer was younger. The completion rates were lower and the refusal rates and Within Precinct Error was higher when the interviewers were under the age of 35.[6] Complicating this is that nearly half the interviewers were under the age of 35, including 35% who were 18-24 and another 15% were 25-34.
Conclusions
Based on the previous exit poll results, we should expect once again that Tuesday’s exit poll data could overstate the Obama vote and under represent the McCain vote.
It is important that the campaign make sure the media realizes this, so that when the exit polls do leak, people do not overreact to the early exit poll data. Rather than looking at the exit polls, we should wait until we start seeing actual election results from key precincts and counties to gauge who won the election.
They almost got it done in 2000 when they announced over an hour before they closed polls in Florida. They will look to do the same tomorrow. Looks for them to exit poll heavily Dem districts, etc. Its an attempt to keep Central Time Zone voters at home in Missouri, Minnesota, Florida, Iowa, Nevada and Colorado.
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