Just as they did when they invaded Afghanistan during Christmas 29 years ago, Russian armor rolled. News travels differently than it once did, though. International analytical condemnation came immediately and went worldwide. Ralph Peters provides excellent analysis in his essay, “Raping Georgia.”
Yesterday, the world didn’t watch the Olympic opening ceremonies (the Chinese must be furious at the Russians). Instead, we saw images of Soviet - sorry, I meant Russian - aircraft pounding Georgian territory as Russian armor rolled over the Caucasus Mountains.
The Kremlin is determined to break Georgia’s will - and keep the feisty republic out of NATO.
Russia, you see, still believes it’s entitled to all of its former empire. And, tragically, “Old Europe” is back: Yesterday, Germany and other nervous European states bought the Russian line that Georgia is the aggressor. Wouldn’t want to anger Moscow . .
Peters gives clear details and timeline to the events with just the right snark.
The Kremlin decided it was time to act, since Georgia was only growing stronger under its democratically elected government. Although NATO has been hemming and hawing about admitting Georgia, the Russians didn’t want to take any chances. (Just last month, 1,000 US troops were in Georgia for an exercise.)
Calculating that the media and world leaders would be partying in Beijing, the Russians ordered North Ossetian militiamen, backed by Russian “peacekeepers” and mercenaries, to provoke the Georgians earlier this month.
Weary of the Russian presence on their soil, the Georgians took the bait. President Mikheil Saakashvili ordered his US-trained military to respond.
That was the excuse the Kremlin wanted. Immediately, a tank brigade from Russia’s 58th Army (the butchers of Chechnya) crossed the international border into Poland - sorry, I meant Georgia.
Colonel Peters seems to indicate that the Russians need to overwhelm the Georgians with brute force, but will be surprised by the ferocity of the Georgian counterattacks. The Georgian military has certainly prepared itself for a Russian invasion and the Caucasus Mountains provide some serious logistical problems for the Russians.
Georgia is a US ally. Both presidential candidates have called for Russian withdrawal. Expect very strong diplomatic pressure on the Russians from the US until they end their pre-planned offensive against its neighbor.